Random comments on those theories.Spoiler: Umineko 1st arc (click to see content)
-Natsuhi is the last to die, while all the others are locked. In the anime, we can hear only one gun shot. If it's not a third party, the bullet can have bounced off something. Straight into her head, hrm.
-The previous three died while only Maria was around and everyone else was locked together. Either Maria somehow did it (on three adults... ?), or someone else did it, or one of the three did it and killed themselves.
-What do we have so far on the island ? People who may want the money, people who may believe in the witch and who would actually kill people to "revive her", people who could simply want the others to believe in Beatrice, and maybe accidents. A big possibility is that not all the killings were done by the same people, even - I mean that without even anyone being conspiring together.
-As an example of the above, if Natsuhi did some of the killing, the last three (before her) couldn't be killed by her, and seeing their death, she could freak out, which could lead to her believing Beatrice really was around, and do something that could result in her bullet bouncing back and kill her.
-Another example, for the locked room with George's parents, the mother could kill the father and then someone else could kill her - she could even kill herself. But you'd need a pretty big motive for that.
-Whether one of the dead bodies (any of them) was swapped (Jessica/Shannon or anyone else) doesn't help much in saying how the murders happened.
-Genji is the most likely to be able to have the physical force to do some of the stuff that were done - carrying bodies (including Kinzo) and whatnot. He could also be capable of doing the last three murders before Natsuhi, and then killing himself, if we follow the possibility that he wanted Beatrice to come back, or if he wanted people to believe in her. For some reason.
-At the very least, there's someone who does want people to believe in Beatrice, or who believe in her themselves. because of the drawings and scribbles and all.
Also forgot something about Lucky's theories Spoiler, click to toggle visibilty
Kanon went missing at the 4th episode.
? She dies. The doctor goes to try to save her, Jessica comes with him, then when they come back, Jessica falls down and cries - looks like Kanon simply died from the wound.
If I struggled to the end of my determination, to the end of my way of life with my followers, if the result is ruin, then this ruin is inevitable. Grieve. Shed tears. But you cannot regret.